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MRC-Epidemiology Unit, University of Cambridge
July 7, 2023
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In summary, microsimulation is a unique modeling technique that allows for the simulation of individual units and their interactions, providing a more detailed and nuanced understanding of the effects of policies and other changes.
All-cause mortality rate: National Statistics offices/Global Burden of Disease Study
All-cause mortality rate trends: National Statistics offices
Population for each cohort (can also be 100,000 or similar figure)
Average life years without intervention: 6,362
Average life years without intervention: 7,005
Life years gained (undiscounted): 643 (7,005 - 6,362)
Caveat: Probability of dying increases with age
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